Friday, February 8, 2008

Day Trading - Want to try it? Then Say Goodbye to Your Equity

Day trading is popular with huge numbers of novice traders yet you are guaranteed to lose in the longer term, as the logic it is based upon is simply not true and can never work. ..

Lets look at the two reasons why if you day trade you will lose.

Before we get started on the reasons why day trading is a guaranteed route to losses lets look at why you see track records with huge profits on many day forex day trading systems.

Here is the reason they all carry a disclaimer like the one below which means they have NEVER been traded:

"CFTC RULE 4.41 - Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown".

So you can make anything up you like and the track record is not worth the paper it's written on.

What's the point in having a track record if it isn't real and also you would think that the person selling the system would actually show confidence and trade it!

The reason they don't is most are sold by marketing companies looking to dupe naïve and greedy investors. Try and find a forex day trader with a real time track record and let me know if you find one you won't

So why doesn't day trading work?

The reason is obvious all volatility in short time frames is of a random nature and all support and resistance levels are not valid.

You cannot get the odds in your favor when day trading and if you can't get the odds in your favor you will lose - Period.

You simply can't judge in such a short time span what prices will do.

You have millions of people all with different motivations and personalities and to say you can measure what this vast diverse group will do in under a day is simply destined to failure.

So the next time you see that tempting day trading track record check the small profit, as chances are its never been traded. Then think about the above and you will see that day trading is a total mugs game.

by Kelly Price
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